Best Ball Strategy: Comparing ADPs From Underdog, DraftKings & Drafters

This article is part of our Best Ball Strategy series.

This is always one of my favorite articles to work on, in large part because ADP differences between various best-ball sites are often the opposite of what one might expect given the scoring differences between those same sites. One might assume, for example, that WRs tend to come off the board earlier on full-PPR platforms, i.e., Drafters and DraftKings. In reality, many WRs are drafted earliest on half-PPR Underdog.

It’s an exploitable inefficiency, especially for anyone that’s already drafting on multiple sites. And for those accustomed to using a single site, this is an excellent reason to split your bankroll between two or three different platforms instead. At the bottom of this article, I’ll discuss general strategic advantages that can be deployed on each site, in addition to looking at specific ADPs.

Before we get to the meat and potatoes, let’s review the main format differences between the three aforementioned platforms:

1. The scoring systems aren’t identical. 

  • Underdog = half PPR
  • Drafters = full PPR
  • DraftKings = full PPR with three-point bonuses at 100 rushing or 300 passing yards

As mentioned above, the ADP differences one might expect based on this don’t necessarily hold true, i.e., don’t assume Derrick Henry will go earlier on UD than he does on the full-PPR sites. This is something we can and should use to our advantage. 

       

2. Drafters doesn’t use playoffs. DraftKings and Underdog do.

  • Drafters determines tourney winners by the accumulation of points in Weeks 1-17
  • DraftKings and Underdog use a playoff format in Weeks 15-17.

On Drafters, you need to build a team that’s dominant from start to finish, which means hitting multiple home runs in the later rounds. On DK and UD, you can get away with simply being pretty good for most of the year; you just need your team to be healthy and peaking late in the season. 

On UD and DK, finishing second out of 12 in your league during Weeks 1-14 gets you into the playoffs, at which point anything can happen. A similar team on Drafters will min-cash, with no shot at anything more. 

Many of these implications also impact ADP, e.g., the heightened importance of late-season production on DK/UD means guys coming back from major injuries tend to go a little bit earlier on those sites relative to Drafters, where it’s a bigger deal if your player doesn’t do much during the first part of the season. This also favors rookies, as some will start the season in limited roles before eventually becoming full-time starters.

     

3. Underdog mostly runs 18-round drafts, while DraftKings and Drafters go 20 rounds.

This one doesn’t have significant ADP-related strategic implications, but it does explain some of the ADP discrepancies seen below for players outside the Top 200. And it obviously has big implications for roster construction. You’ll see a lot more teams with only two QBs and/or two TEs on Underdog, although that’s also a valid strategy on the 20-round sites.

                

The chart below shows ADPs from each of the three sites, followed by the difference between a player’s ADP on one site and the average from the two others. A negative number means the player is a better value on said platform. Some of the best values from each site are in bold. After the chart, I’ll have a strategic breakdown for each site and some examples of the best and worst ADP values.

    UD ADP DK ADP Dr ADP UDΔ DKΔ DrΔ
1 WR Ja’Marr Chase 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.0 -0.1 0.1
2 RB Saquon Barkley 2.5 2.3 2.8 0.1 0.3 -0.4
3 WR Justin Jefferson 3.2 3.5 3.0 0.0 -0.4 0.3
4 RB Bijan Robinson 4.0 4.1 3.8 -0.1 -0.2 0.2
5 WR CeeDee Lamb 4.8 5.7 4.9 0.5 -0.9 0.4
6 RB Jahmyr Gibbs 6.0 5.3 6.1 -0.3 0.7 -0.4
7 WR Puka Nacua 7.7 10.1 9.5 2.1 -1.5 -0.6
8 RB Ashton Jeanty 8.8 8.0 8.7 -0.4 0.7 -0.3
9 WR Malik Nabers 9.1 8.8 7.4 -1.0 -0.6 1.6
10 WR Amon-Ra St. Brown 9.8 9.4 9.2 -0.5 0.1 0.4
11 WR Nico Collins 11.2 13.0 11.6 1.1 -1.6 0.5
12 RB Christian McCaffrey 11.7 11.4 10.9 -0.6 -0.1 0.6
13 WR Brian Thomas 12.5 14.0 12.9 1.0 -1.3 0.4
14 RB Derrick Henry 14.5 10.9 14.7 -1.7 3.7 -2.0
15 TE Brock Bowers 15.8 16.1 16.4 0.4 0.0 -0.5
16 WR Drake London 15.9 18.7 15.4 1.1 -3.0 1.9
17 WR A.J. Brown 17.2 20.4 17.0 1.5 -3.3 1.8
18 RB De’Von Achane 18.2 17.4 17.3 -0.9 0.4 0.5
19 WR Ladd McConkey 18.4 17.1 18.3 -0.7 1.3 -0.6
20 RB Jonathan Taylor 20.8 18.4 20.6 -1.3 2.3 -1.0
21 RB Bucky Irving 22.0 23.0 23.6 1.3 -0.2 -1.1
22 TE Trey McBride 22.7 24.9 22.2 0.8 -2.4 1.6
23 WR Tee Higgins 23.4 25.4 22.5 0.6 -2.5 1.9
24 RB Josh Jacobs 25.0 23.6 27.1 0.4 2.4 -2.8
25 WR Garrett Wilson 25.9 29.4 23.5 0.6 -4.7 4.2
26 WR Marvin Harrison 26.0 32.4 27.2 3.8 -5.8 2.0
27 WR Tyreek Hill 27.5 31.9 32.5 4.7 -1.9 -2.8
28 WR Terry McLaurin 27.8 27.2 29.5 0.5 1.5 -2.0
29 WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba 29.0 32.4 27.3 0.9 -4.3 3.4
30 WR Rashee Rice 29.7 36.5 25.5 1.3 -8.9 7.6
31 RB Chase Brown 30.2 32.0 28.8 0.2 -2.5 2.3
32 WR Davante Adams 31.7 35.5 30.3 1.2 -4.5 3.3
33 RB Kyren Williams 33.0 28.4 32.8 -2.4 4.5 -2.1
34 QB Josh Allen 34.6 22.4 36.0 -5.4 12.9 -7.5
35 WR Mike Evans 34.7 37.7 36.4 2.3 -2.1 -0.2
36 QB Lamar Jackson 36.5 26.4 34.0 -6.3 8.8 -2.5
37 RB Breece Hall 37.5 38.5 34.4 -1.1 -2.5 3.6
38 WR Xavier Worthy 38.6 44.9 38.5 3.1 -6.3 3.2
39 WR Tetairoa McMillan 39.8 49.6 39.5 4.7 -9.9 5.2
40 WR DJ Moore 40.2 44.2 41.2 2.5 -3.5 1.0
41 RB James Cook 41.6 34.9 39.2 -4.6 5.5 -1.0
42 WR Travis Hunter 41.7 43.7 44.2 2.3 -0.8 -1.5
43 QB Jayden Daniels 42.8 34.8 42.3 -4.3 7.8 -3.5
44 RB Omarion Hampton 44.0 44.1 45.9 1.0 0.9 -1.9
45 WR DeVonta Smith 44.6 49.0 43.7 1.7 -4.8 3.1
46 WR Courtland Sutton 47.0 51.0 50.1 3.5 -2.4 -1.1
47 WR Jameson Williams 47.3 54.5 50.8 5.4 -5.5 0.1
48 WR DK Metcalf 48.9 53.5 47.2 1.5 -5.5 4.0
49 WR Zay Flowers 49.4 55.4 53.1 4.9 -4.2 -0.7
50 QB Jalen Hurts 51.2 46.9 47.6 -4.0 2.5 1.4
51 RB Joe Mixon 51.2 40.8 51.5 -5.1 10.6 -5.5
52 TE George Kittle 51.6 47.0 49.1 -3.6 3.4 0.2
53 QB Joe Burrow 53.9 42.5 52.5 -6.4 10.7 -4.3
54 WR Calvin Ridley 54.9 63.8 58.4 6.2 -7.2 1.0
55 RB RJ Harvey 54.9 51.5 48.2 -5.1 0.1 5.0
56 WR George Pickens 56.4 57.4 54.7 -0.4 -1.8 2.2
57 RB Chuba Hubbard 56.8 53.2 55.6 -2.4 3.0 -0.6
58 WR Jaylen Waddle 57.0 67.0 58.5 5.8 -9.3 3.5
59 RB Kenneth Walker 58.6 57.0 54.2 -3.0 -0.6 3.6
60 WR Jordan Addison 60.0 70.1 66.7 8.4 -6.8 -1.6
61 RB Alvin Kamara 61.8 51.4 59.1 -6.5 9.0 -2.5
62 WR Rome Odunze 63.3 73.3 71.5 9.1 -5.9 -3.2
63 RB TreVeyon Henderson 63.4 62.6 63.1 -0.5 0.6 -0.1
64 WR Chris Olave 64.1 76.5 68.0 8.1 -10.4 2.3
65 WR Chris Godwin 65.2 65.6 62.9 -1.0 -1.5 2.5
66 WR Jauan Jennings 65.3 72.0 64.5 3.0 -7.1 4.2
67 WR Deebo Samuel 67.0 62.7 69.0 -1.2 5.3 -4.2
68 WR Jerry Jeudy 67.4 69.5 62.2 -1.5 -4.7 6.3
69 RB James Conner 67.9 61.6 65.5 -4.4 5.1 -0.8
70 TE Sam LaPorta 69.2 59.3 69.1 -5.0 9.9 -4.9
71 RB David Montgomery 70.7 65.2 68.4 -3.9 4.4 -0.5
72 RB Quinshon Judkins 72.9 68.7 73.3 -1.9 4.4 -2.5
73 WR Jakobi Meyers 73.3 77.4 74.2 2.5 -3.6 1.1
74 WR Ricky Pearsall 74.4 85.3 74.4 5.4 -10.9 5.4
75 WR Matthew Golden 76.2 87.4 82.6 8.8 -8.0 -0.8
76 RB Kaleb Johnson 76.2 74.6 74.0 -1.9 0.5 1.4
77 WR Stefon Diggs 77.3 82.5 76.2 2.0 -5.7 3.7
78 RB Tony Pollard 78.4 80.4 74.9 -0.8 -3.7 4.5
79 WR Jayden Reed 79.0 92.0 84.2 9.1 -10.4 1.3
80 WR Khalil Shakir 79.7 78.6 77.8 -1.5 0.2 1.3
81 WR Brandon Aiyuk 81.3 92.8 84.3 7.3 -10.0 2.8
82 RB D’Andre Swift 81.6 83.9 80.6 0.7 -2.8 2.2
83 RB Aaron Jones 83.2 75.2 78.8 -6.2 5.8 0.4
84 QB Patrick Mahomes 83.5 67.3 81.0 -9.4 15.0 -5.6
85 TE T.J. Hockenson 85.5 83.6 84.8 -1.3 1.5 -0.2
86 WR Cooper Kupp 86.8 80.8 88.3 -2.3 6.8 -4.5
87 WR Darnell Mooney 87.4 110.4 93.1 14.4 -20.2 5.8
88 RB Brian Robinson 88.8 84.8 86.4 -3.2 2.8 0.4
89 RB Isiah Pacheco 90.3 90.3 89.6 -0.4 -0.3 0.7
90 QB Baker Mayfield 90.7 77.7 88.8 -7.5 12.1 -4.6
91 WR Luther Burden 91.0 120.3 109.8 24.0 -19.9 -4.2
92 WR Emeka Egbuka 93.7 101.3 104.9 9.4 -2.0 -7.4
93 WR Josh Downs 94.0 101.9 90.2 2.0 -9.8 7.7
94 QB Kyler Murray 95.3 94.1 97.0 0.3 2.0 -2.3
95 TE Jonnu Smith 96.4 89.9 96.6 -3.2 6.6 -3.5
96 WR Jayden Higgins 97.0 105.6 101.7 6.7 -6.3 -0.4
97 RB Cam Skattebo 98.6 99.4 93.5 -2.1 -3.4 5.5
98 QB Bo Nix 99.7 88.9 98.4 -6.0 10.1 -4.1
99 QB Caleb Williams 99.8 99.2 102.3 1.0 1.8 -2.8
100 TE Travis Kelce 100.3 75.8 92.0 -16.4 20.3 -3.9
101 WR Tre Harris 100.5 116.0 97.7 6.4 -16.9 10.6
102 WR Michael Pittman 101.3 106.7 96.8 0.5 -7.7 7.2
103 RB Tyrone Tracy 103.4 98.5 111.7 1.7 9.1 -10.8
104 QB Justin Fields 104.8 102.0 94.7 -6.5 -2.2 8.7
105 RB Jaylen Warren 104.8 103.2 99.0 -3.7 -1.3 5.0
106 RB Jordan Mason 105.2 111.9 101.0 1.2 -8.8 7.5
107 TE Mark Andrews 106.7 103.0 104.5 -2.9 2.6 0.4
108 QB Brock Purdy 108.0 106.1 106.6 -1.6 1.2 0.5
109 WR Keon Coleman 108.5 129.8 115.9 14.3 -17.6 3.2
110 RB Najee Harris 110.8 103.2 105.4 -6.5 4.9 1.6
111 TE Evan Engram 111.1 108.0 109.8 -2.2 2.4 -0.2
112 RB Zach Charbonnet 113.2 114.8 107.7 -1.9 -4.4 6.3
113 WR Rashid Shaheed 113.3 136.1 119.5 14.5 -19.7 5.2
114 QB Jared Goff 114.5 91.7 113.0 -12.2 22.1 -9.9
115 WR Rashod Bateman 115.7 122.0 111.5 1.0 -8.4 7.3
116 TE Colston Loveland 115.8 113.1 122.1 1.8 5.8 -7.6
117 RB Bhayshul Tuten 116.6 128.4 113.8 4.5 -13.2 8.7
118 WR Marvin Mims 118.1 128.2 119.0 5.5 -9.7 4.2
119 QB Dak Prescott 118.5 104.8 115.3 -8.4 12.1 -3.6
120 RB Javonte Williams 121.2 117.5 123.1 -0.9 4.7 -3.8
121 RB Travis Etienne 121.6 120.8 125.2 1.4 2.6 -4.0
122 WR Kyle Williams 122.0 144.9 124.7 12.8 -21.6 8.8
123 QB Justin Herbert 122.4 113.6 120.6 -5.3 7.9 -2.6
124 QB Drake Maye 124.0 124.5 118.1 -2.7 -3.4 6.1
125 TE Tyler Warren 125.1 97.7 132.1 -10.2 30.9 -20.7
126 WR Jack Bech 125.3 131.9 130.1 5.7 -4.2 -1.5
127 WR Christian Kirk 126.3 139.4 129.7 8.2 -11.4 3.1
128 QB Jordan Love 128.8 121.4 129.2 -3.5 7.6 -4.1
129 TE David Njoku 129.3 121.1 124.0 -6.8 5.6 1.2
130 WR Hollywood Brown 129.4 148.9 134.7 12.4 -16.8 4.4
131 RB Jaydon Blue 129.9 128.0 115.6 -8.1 -5.2 13.3
132 RB Rhamondre Stevenson 130.3 125.4 124.6 -5.3 2.0 3.3
133 QB C.J. Stroud 133.5 115.9 133.4 -8.8 17.5 -8.7
134 TE Tucker Kraft 134.4 128.8 136.8 -1.6 6.8 -5.2
135 QB Trevor Lawrence 134.5 132.7 131.5 -2.4 0.3 2.1
136 TE Dalton Kincaid 136.6 134.2 138.2 -0.4 3.2 -2.8
137 RB Tyjae Spears 137.4 141.4 131.0 -1.2 -7.2 8.4
138 QB J.J. McCarthy 137.9 125.9 135.6 -7.1 10.8 -3.7
139 TE Jake Ferguson 140.3 145.2 144.1 4.3 -3.0 -1.4
140 RB Trey Benson 140.6 155.8 141.9 8.3 -14.6 6.3
141 TE Dallas Goedert 141.8 135.8 141.1 -3.3 5.6 -2.3
142 RB Isaac Guerendo 143.4 147.4 138.7 -0.3 -6.4 6.7
143 RB Rachaad White 143.6 137.8 140.7 -4.4 4.4 0.0
144 TE Kyle Pitts 145.4 138.5 149.1 -1.6 8.8 -7.2
145 TE Isaiah Likely 146.1 131.5 149.5 -5.6 16.3 -10.7
146 RB Ray Davis 146.8 157.5 144.8 4.3 -11.7 7.3
147 QB Michael Penix 147.2 139.5 143.5 -5.7 5.8 -0.1
148 WR Jalen McMillan 148.1 154.1 151.3 4.6 -4.4 -0.2
149 WR Quentin Johnston 149.3 155.9 153.5 5.4 -4.5 -0.9
150 WR Jaylin Noel 150.7 183.5 175.5 28.8 -20.4 -8.4
151 WR Joshua Palmer 151.2 178.1 161.2 18.5 -21.9 3.5
152 RB Tank Bigsby 151.8 150.1 151.4 -1.1 1.5 -0.5
153 RB Tyler Allgeier 152.6 163.4 152.7 5.4 -10.7 5.3
154 QB Tua Tagovailoa 154.5 142.3 151.1 -7.8 10.5 -2.7
155 WR Cedric Tillman 155.6 176.7 145.6 5.6 -26.1 20.6
156 RB Austin Ekeler 157.8 153.6 150.4 -5.8 0.5 5.3
157 TE Brenton Strange 158.2 170.3 164.8 9.4 -8.8 -0.5
158 WR Xavier Legette 158.9 168.1 172.1 11.2 -2.6 -8.6
159 WR Romeo Doubs 159.8 167.4 161.2 4.5 -6.9 2.4
160 QB Bryce Young 161.2 153.2 153.2 -8.0 4.0 4.0
161 QB Cameron Ward 162.9 149.6 159.4 -8.4 11.5 -3.1
162 WR Adam Thielen 163.3 143.0 155.0 -14.3 16.2 -1.9
163 RB Braelon Allen 163.3 171.5 159.1 2.0 -10.3 8.3
164 QB Matthew Stafford 164.2 142.3 163.1 -11.5 21.4 -9.9
165 WR Wan’Dale Robinson 164.5 164.2 164.4 -0.2 0.3 -0.1
166 TE Zach Ertz 166.2 149.2 163.1 -10.0 15.4 -5.4
167 TE Pat Freiermuth 166.8 166.3 169.0 0.9 1.6 -2.4
168 QB Geno Smith 167.3 153.0 157.3 -12.2 9.3 2.8
169 RB Rico Dowdle 168.5 162.7 164.9 -4.7 4.0 0.7
170 RB Roschon Johnson 169.6 193.2 175.1 14.5 -20.8 6.3
171 TE Hunter Henry 170.7 178.5 175.0 6.1 -5.7 -0.4
172 WR Alec Pierce 170.8 172.5 175.8 3.3 0.8 -4.2
173 TE Mike Gesicki 172.3 161.7 169.7 -6.6 9.3 -2.7
174 QB Anthony Richardson 172.5 164.7 167.3 -6.5 5.2 1.3
175 WR Michael Wilson 174.8 200.7 186.3 18.7 -20.1 1.4
176 WR Pat Bryant 174.9 197.9 166.4 7.3 -27.3 20.0
177 TE Mason Taylor 179.4 164.2 181.3 -6.7 16.2 -9.5
178 WR DeAndre Hopkins 179.4 171.4 189.1 0.9 12.8 -13.7
179 WR Keenan Allen 181.8 181.6 170.0 -6.0 -5.7 11.7
180 WR DeMario Douglas 182.3 192.7 186.4 7.3 -8.4 1.1
181 TE Cade Otton 182.4 172.7 183.0 -4.6 10.0 -5.5
182 QB Sam Darnold 182.9 159.8 173.3 -16.3 18.3 -1.9
183 RB Jaylen Wright 183.2 181.4 179.7 -2.7 0.1 2.6
184 RB Dylan Sampson 186.9 178.9 194.9 0.0 12.0 -12.0
185 RB Will Shipley 187.1 198.2 171.5 -2.3 -18.9 21.1
186 RB Devin Neal 187.4 194.0 186.5 2.9 -7.1 4.2
187 RB DJ Giddens 188.7 212.2 193.0 13.9 -21.3 7.4
188 WR Andrei Iosivas 189.8 190.6 194.0 2.5 1.3 -3.8
189 TE Dalton Schultz 190.1 194.9 196.4 5.5 -1.6 -3.9
190 RB Justice Hill 192.1 181.6 174.1 -14.2 1.5 12.8
191 RB J.K. Dobbins 192.9 188.1 180.0 -8.8 -1.7 10.5
192 WR Jalen Coker 193.6 209.9 199.8 11.3 -13.2 2.0
193 RB MarShawn Lloyd 193.9 207.4 185.6 2.6 -17.6 15.0
194 WR Darius Slayton 196.5 214.5 195.1 8.3 -18.7 10.4
195 RB Jarquez Hunter 198.2 216.7 195.8 8.0 -19.7 11.6
196 TE Chig Okonkwo 199.1 192.0 191.3 -7.4 3.2 4.3
197 RB Blake Corum 200.5 203.0 205.4 3.7 -0.1 -3.6
198 WR Tyler Lockett 200.7 197.9 212.5 4.5 8.7 -13.2
199 WR Elic Ayomanor 201.6 186.6 193.8 -11.4 11.1 0.3
200 WR Jalen Royals 202.8 204.4 207.8 3.3 0.9 -4.2
201 WR Calvin Austin 204.5 205.7 217.6 7.2 5.3 -12.5
202 RB Woody Marks 204.7 219.7 192.6 1.5 -21.1 19.6
203 TE Ja’Tavion Sanders 205.6 224.0 219.0 15.9 -11.7 -4.2
204 WR Isaac TeSlaa 205.7 208.0 205.1 0.9 -2.6 1.8
205 WR Tutu Atwell 206.0 218.8 204.9 5.9 -13.4 7.5
206 QB Jaxson Dart 206.1 196.5 202.6 -6.6 7.9 -1.3
207 RB Jerome Ford 207.0 189.8 200.9 -11.7 14.2 -2.5
208 WR Adonai Mitchell 207.4 227.3 218.3 15.4 -14.5 -0.9
209 WR Dontayvion Wicks 207.5 217.5 209.2 5.8 -9.1 3.3
210 QB Tyler Shough 208.1 187.7 202.6 -13.0 17.7 -4.7
211 RB Brashard Smith 208.8 213.9 208.3 2.3 -5.4 3.1
212 WR Dyami Brown 209.9 226.1 216.3 11.3 -13.0 1.7
213 TE Terrance Ferguson 210.2 197.8 222.0 -0.3 18.3 -18.0
214 TE Juwan Johnson 210.6 210.0 201.1 -5.0 -4.2 9.2
215 RB Kareem Hunt 210.8 169.6 209.4 -21.3 40.5 -19.2
216 RB Nick Chubb 211.5 201.0 209.9 -6.0 9.7 -3.6

         

Underdog Breakdown 🐕

General Strategy/Observations

WRs tend to come off the board early, even though Underdog is the only one of these three sites that doesn’t use full-PPR scoring. Given those dual realities, UD is a great place for builds that hammer RBs early and/or draft premium QBs. The lack of full-PPR scoring makes QBs slightly more valuable relative to other players, but that’s not something that shows up in ADP.

You may also notice that ADPs on Underdog and Drafters tend to be very similar, even though the formats are considerably different. If you expect a player’s production to be back-weighted within the season due to youth, injury rehab or a cloudy depth chart, he’s theoretically more valuable on Underdog (where Weeks 15-17 have outsized importance) than on Drafters (where every week counts the same). This does show up in ADP sometimes, but not always. Noteworthy rookies that go later on UD than they do on Drafters include WR Tre Harris (UD: 100.5, Dr: 97.7), RB Jaydon Blue (UD: 129.9, Dr: 115.6) and QB Cameron Ward (UD: 162.9, Dr: 159.4).

          

Best Values

QB Lamar Jackson (UD: 36.5, DK: 26.4, Dr: 34.0)

QB Jalen Hurts (UD: 51.2, DK: 46.9, Dr: 47.6)

RB RJ Harvey (UD: 54.9, DK: 51.5, Dr: 48.2)

TE Travis Kelce (UD: 100.3, DK: 75.8, Dr: 92.0)

QB Geno Smith (UD: 167.3, DK: 153.0, Dr: 157.3)

RB Justice Hill (UD: 192.1, DK: 181.6, Dr: 174.1)

If you’re looking for a team stack with a great price on UD, the one that sticks out most is Jackson + Hill + TE Mark Andrews (UD: 106.7, DK: 103.0, Dr: 104.5). There’s also good value in combining Hurts with Dallas Goedert (UD: 141.8, DK: 135.8, Dr: 141.1) or Bryce Young (UD: 161.2, DK: 153.2, Dr: 153.2) with Adam Thielen (UD: 163.3, DK: 143.0, Dr: 155.0)

      

Worst Values

WR Puka Nacua (UD: 7.7, DK: 10.1, Dr: 9.5)

WR Tyreek Hill (UD: 27.5, DK: 31.9, Dr: 32.5)

WR Rome Odunze (UD: 63.3, DK: 73.3, Dr: 71.5)

WR Luther Burden (UD: 91.0, DK: 120.3, Dr: 109.8)

WR Jaylin Noel (UD: 150.7, DK: 183.5, Dr: 175.5)

WR Michael Wilson (UD: 174.8, DK: 200.7, Dr: 186.3)

The trouble with fading WRs early in Underdog drafts is that it’s also tricky to find value at the position later on. Nearly all of them go earlier on UD compared to DK, but we can find more relative value if comparing UD to only Drafters instead. Examples include Harris, as mentioned above, along with Garrett Wilson (UD: 25.9, Dr: 23.5), Rashee Rice (UD: 29.7, Dr: 25.5), George Pickens (UD: 56.4, Dr: 54.7), Rashod Bateman (UD: 115.7, Dr: 111.5) and Elic Ayomanor (UD: 201.6, Dr: 193.8).

        

DraftKings Breakdown 👑

General Strategy/Observations

Nearly all the value relative to other sites is at WR, while QBs and TEs largely go earlier on DraftKings. Running backs are a mixed bag, with most of the available value being younger players, while veteran RBs like Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara and Joe Mixon are overpriced.

We still need to draft quarterbacks and tight ends, of course, so it’s worth making note of some counter-examples that are reasonably priced on DraftKings: QB Kyler Murray, QB Justin Fields, QB Caleb Williams, QB Brock Purdy, QB Drake Maye, QB Trevor Lawrence, TE Trey McBride, TE T.J. Hockenson, TE Jake Ferguson, TE Brenton Strange, TE Hunter Henry, TE Ja’Tavion Sanders.

Given how QBs and TEs generally are more expensive here, the Murray-McBride stack really sticks out as a notable exception that’s worth targeting — arguably to the point where I’d try to avoid it on other sites and get all my exposure on DK. Cardinals WR Marvin Harrison also has a great price on DK, but it’s difficult to pair him and McBride without taking at least one of them well ahead of ADP (which negates the aforementioned value).

Other DK-friendly stacks include: QB Justin Fields + WR Garrett Wilson //  QB Trevor Lawrence + TE Brenton Strange  //  QB Caleb Williams + WR Rome Odunze + WR Luther Burden  //  QB Drake Maye + WR Kyle Williams + TE Hunter Henry  //  QB Brock Purdy + WR Ricky Pearsall

          

Best Values

WR Drake London (DK: 18.7, UD: 15.9, Dr: 15.4)

WR A.J. Brown (DK: 20.4, UD: 17.2, Dr: 17.0)

TE Trey McBride (DK: 24.9, UD: 22.7, Dr: 22.2)

WR Garrett Wilson (DK: 29.4, UD: 25.0, Dr: 23.5)

WR Marvin Harrison (DK: 32.4, UD: 26.0, Dr: 27.2)

WR Rashee Rice (DK: 36.5, UD: 29.7, Dr: 25.5)

WR Tetairoa McMillan (DK: 49.6, UD: 39.8, Dr: 39.5)

WR Jaylen Waddle (DK: 67.0, UD: 57.0, Dr: 58.5)

WR Chris Olave (DK: 76.5, UD: 64.1, Dr: 68.0)

WR Darnell Mooney (DK: 110.4, UD: 87.4, Dr: 93.1)

RB Bhayshul Tuten (DK: 128.4, UD: 116.6, Dr: 113.8)

RB Trey Benson (DK: 155.8, UD: 140.6, Dr: 141.9)

RB Ray Davis (DK: 157.5, UD: 146.8, Dr: 144.9)

TE Brenton Strange (DK: 170.3, UD: 158.2, Dr: 164.8) 

The wealth of favorable WR prices combined with full-PPR scoring makes DK an ideal place to hammer wide receivers in the early rounds. Even better because there’s actually decent value at other positions once we get to the middle rounds, allowing us to load up on QBs, RBs and TEs at similar prices relative to Underdog and Drafters. There are a lot of backup RBs, in particular, with ADPs a full round later on DK compared to the other two sites.

In a DK draft that generally lines up with ADP, my ideal build would opt for quality at WR (e.g. drafting five within the first seven rounds) and quantity at RB (e.g. drafting seven total, but with only one or two in the top 100). Hammer the WRs early, followed by QBs and TEs, and then draft a slew of young/backup RBs in Rounds 11-16.

     

Worst Values

RB Derrick Henry (DK: 10.9, UD: 14.5, Dr: 14.7)

QB Josh Allen (DK: 22.4, UD: 34.6, Dr: 36.0)

RB Joe Mixon (DK: 40.8, UD: 51.2, Dr: 51.5)

TE Sam LaPorta (DK: 59.3, UD: 69.2, Dr: 69.1)

QB Patrick Mahomes (DK: 67.3, UD: 83.5, Dr: 81.0)

TE Travis Kelce (DK: 75.8, UD: 100.4, Dr: 92.0)

QB Jared Goff (DK: 91.7, UD: 114.5, Dr: 113.0)

TE Tyler Warren (DK: 97.7, UD: 125.1, Dr: 132.1)

RB Kareem Hunt (DK: 169.6, UD: 210.8, Dr: 209.4)

Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels and Joe Burrow also have much earlier ADPs on DK relative to the other two sites, so I wouldn’t plan on having a lot of premium-QB builds there. Each draft is different, of course, and there will certainly be times when Burrow lasts to the 4-5 turn and can thus be paired with Ja’Marr Chase. I’m nonetheless wary of drafting Chase and Tee Higgins together on DK, as there’s a decent chance someone will snipe an unstacked Burrow before he gets back to you at the turn. On the other sites, there’s an excellent chance Burrow lasts to the 4-5 turn if you’re the one who has both Chase and Higgins.

      

Drafters Breakdown 🤓

 General Strategy/Observations

For me at least, Drafters is the most difficult site to find general trends that offer value. We need to dig in more and look at the players individually, and also remember that the contest format is very different from most of the tournaments on UD and DK. Upside truly is everything, as we need to build a perfect team from start to finish, not just one that’s pretty good and then peaks in Weeks 15-17.

     

Best Values

RB Josh Jacobs (Dr: 27.1, UD: 25.0, DK: 23.6)

WR Tyreek Hill (Dr: 32.5, UD: 27.5, DK: 31.9)

WR Terry McLaurin (Dr: 29.5, UD: 27.8, DK: 27.2)

WR Deebo Samuel (Dr: 69.0, UD: 67.0, DK: 62.7)

RB Tyrone Tracy (Dr: 111.8, UD: 103.4, DK: 98.5)

TE Colston Loveland (Dr: 122.1, UD: 115.8, DK: 113.1)

TE Tyler Warren (Dr: 132.1, UD: 125.1, DK: 97.7)

RB Dylan Sampson (Dr: 194.9, UD: 186.9, DK: 178.9)

        

Worst Values

WR Malik Nabers (Dr: 7.4, UD: 9.1, DK: 8.8)

WR Garrett Wilson (Dr: 23.5, UD: 25.9, DK: 29.4)

WR Rashee Rice (Dr: 25.5, UD: 29.7, DK: 36.5)

RB Tony Pollard (Dr: 74.9, UD: 78.3, DK: 80.4)

QB Justin Fields (Dr: 94.7, UD: 104.8, DK: 102.0)

RB Jaydon Blue (Dr: 115.6, UD: 129.9, DK: 128.0)

QB Drake Maye (Dr: 118.1, UD: 124.0, DK: 124.5)

RB Will Shipley (Dr: 171.5, UD: 187.1, DK: 198.2)

One can definitely argue that some of these guys, especially Rice and Fields, are rightfully more expensive on Drafters because the total-points format encourages an all-or-nothing, high-ceiling approach. We’re trying to hit home runs with every pick, not settling for singles and doubles that might happen to have their spike games at the right time during fantasy playoffs in late December.

        

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