MMA Expert Picks & Predictions: UFC 319 Pay-Per-View Card
The UFC is back in Chicago on Saturday for a loaded pay-per-view card. In the main event, middleweight champion Dricus Du Plessis finds himself as a betting underdog against one of the best wrestlers of the current generation, Khamzat Chimaev — an undefeated fighter who is getting his first shot at UFC gold.
As a reminder, the following selections are purely picks. If you’re looking for betting or fantasy-specific breakdowns of these fights, check out the following articles on WagerKey:
UFC 319 DraftKings Picks
UFC 319 Betting Picks
UFC 319 Fight Breakdowns
UFC 319 Multi-Site DFS Preview
We also have a MMA DFS Lineup Optimizer to try if you’re looking to try out different combinations of fighters or generate multiple lineups, plus UFC 319 odds from every major sportsbook.
| MATCHUP |
WEIGHT CLASS |
JON | JAKE | CHRIS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (C) Dricus Du Plessis (+195) vs. Khamzat Chimaev (-238) |
Middleweight |
Du Plessis | Chimaev | Chimaev |
| Lerone Murphy (+154) vs. Aaron Pico (-185) |
Featherweight |
Murphy | Murphy | Pico |
| Carlos Prates (-250) vs. Geoff Neal (+205) |
Welterweight |
Prates | Prates | Neal |
| Jared Cannonier (+160) vs. Michael Page (-192) |
Middleweight |
Cannonier | Cannonier | Page |
| Kai Asakura (-310) vs. Tim Elliott (+250) |
Flyweight |
Asakura | Asakura | Elliottt |
| UFC 319 RECORD | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2025 RECORD | 22-16 | 22-16 | 14-24 | |
| 2025 PERCENTAGE | .579 | .579 | .368 | |
| 2024 RECORD | 45-19 | 41-23 | 39-25 | |
| 2024 PERCENTAGE | .703 | .641 | .610 | |
| 2023 RECORD | 42-25 | 44-23 | 35-32 | |
| 2023 PERCENTAGE | .627 | .657 | .522 | |
| 2022 RECORD | 34-27 | 40-21 | 25-26 | |
| 2022 PERCENTAGE | .557 | .656 | .490 | |
| 2021 RECORD | 35-28 | 42-21 | 37-26 | |
| 2021 PERCENTAGE | .556 | .667 | .586 | |
| 2020 RECORD | 36-18 | 34-20 | 28-26 | |
| 2020 PERCENTAGE | .667 | .630 | .519 | |
| 2019 RECORD | 39-19 | 35-23 | 32-26 | |
| 2019 PERCENTAGE | .672 | .603 | .552 | |
| ALL-TIME | 348-214 | 355-207 | 279-229 | |
| ALL-TIME PERCENTAGE | .619 | .632 | .549 |
|
MATCHUP |
WEIGHT |
JOE |
COLE | DRAKE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (C) Dricus Du Plessis (+195) vs. Khamzat Chimaev (-238) |
Middleweight |
Du Plessis | Du Plessis | Du Plessis |
| Lerone Murphy (+154) vs. Aaron Pico (-185) |
Featherweight |
Murphy | Murphy | Murphy |
| Carlos Prates (-250) vs. Geoff Neal (+205) |
Welterweight |
Prates | Prates | Prates |
| Jared Cannonier (+160) vs. Michael Page (-192) |
Middleweight |
Cannonier | Page | Cannonier |
| Kai Asakura (-310) vs. Tim Elliott (+250) |
Flyweight |
Asakura | Asakura | Asakura |
| UFC 319 RECORD | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2025 RECORD | 23-15 | 22-16 | 23-15 | |
| 2025 PERCENTAGE | .605 | .579 | .605 | |
| 2024 RECORD | 40-24 | 40-24 | 43-21 | |
| 2024 PERCENTAGE | .625 | .625 | .672 | |
| 2023 RECORD | 41-26 | 44-23 | 36-31 | |
| 2023 PERCENTAGE | .612 | .657 | .537 | |
| 2022 RECORD | 38-23 | 39-22 | 39-22 | |
| 2022 PERCENTAGE | .623 | .639 | .639 | |
| 2021 RECORD | 38-25 | 43-21 | 17-14 | |
| 2021 PERCENTAGE | .603 | .672 | .548 | |
| 2020 RECORD | 36-18 | N/A | N/A | |
| 2020 PERCENTAGE | .667 | N/A | N/A | |
| 2019 RECORD | 34-24 | N/A | N/A | |
| 2019 PERCENTAGE | .586 | N/A | N/A | |
| ALL-TIME | 287-174 | 185-104 | 158-103 | |
| ALL-TIME PERCENTAGE | .623 | .640 | .605 |
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THE PICKERS
Jon Litterine: WagerKey lead MMA beat writer and scribe for our weekly DrafKings preview. Lead analyst on the WagerKey MMA Podcast. Follow him on Twitter at @JonLitterine.
Jake Letarski: WagerKey.com Operations Manager, plus MMA and NCAA Hoops Senior Editor. Host on the WagerKey MMA Podcast and guest on the WagerKey Fantasy Football Podcast. Follow him on Twitter at @RotoJake.
Chris Olson: Contributor at WagerKey to “Fight IQ, presented by WagerKey,” as well as The MMA Mashup, DFS Baseball, a MMA gambling columnist and fight recaps. Follow him on Twitter at @RealChrisOlson.
Joe “SunTszu”: Known more commonly by his Twitter handle @SunTszu, Joe is a Hedge Fund Executive by day and high-volume DFS player by night. He is a 2x “Bracket Challenge” & “Gotham qualifier. You can also find him as one of the original contributors of “Fight IQ, presented by WagerKey,” a DFS-centric video breakdown. He is also a co-creator of the “Creating Alpha in DFS” podcast.
Cole Shelton: Cole Shelton is a full-time sports writer focusing on MMA. His work has appeared on BJPenn.com, CBC Sports, Sports Betting Dime and Blue Jays Nation. He currently pens the MMA Best Bets column on WagerKey. Follow him on Twitter at @ColeShelton91.
Drake Burden: Drake is a proven DFS winner with multiple four-figure paydays under his belt. He took an interest to writing MMA during the pandemic and is active in various Discords and other social media communities. Follow him on Twitter at @DBurdz.
WagerKey has the latest in UFC betting odds & fighter prop bets for every event, plus compares markets across multiple legal sportsbooks.
